AI is redefining how work gets done and transforming customer engagement. Consumer expectations are evolving faster than business models can adapt. Armed with real-time data from AI and smartphones, consumers are making quicker, more informed purchase decisions, accelerating shifts in behavior. At the same time, long-standing industry assumptions — from sourcing strategies to margin structures — are being upended by disruptions such as shifting government agendas.
Disruptions no longer come in waves — they compound. Economic, social, technological, political and consumer behavior shifts are accelerating simultaneously, creating an environment that is harder to predict, plan for, and lead through. In this environment, legacy playbooks are evolving. And the very definition of what “good leadership” looks like is shifting.
Jon Moeller
Chairman, President & CEO, Procter & Gamble
Of course, no consumer leader has ever led in a time of perfect certainty — volatility has long been part of the job. But today’s environment is different. The scale, speed, and interconnectedness of today’s challenges are pushing leadership into uncharted territory and reshaping expectations of what successful leadership looks like. Yet many leaders stress that volatility is not necessarily a constraint — it is also a catalyst and an opportunity, accelerating innovation, sharpening priorities, and deepening focus on customers.
Alexis Nasard
CEO, Swarovski
To help consumer leaders navigate what’s to come, our research draws on in-depth conversations with sixty-five consumer leaders — from CEOs and C-suite executives to board directors across the US, Europe and Asia, representing organizations that range from the world’s largest consumer conglomerates to fast-growing challenger brands – exploring how they’re responding to compounding uncertainty.
We have identified five shifts that are making the role of the consumer leader more critical than ever. Each shift brings new and often competing demands — forcing leaders to flex between styles, adjust their decision-making approach, and practice situational leadership.
What used to be isolated disruptions are now overlapping and compounding — turning complexity into something systemic. Consumer leaders aren’t just solving one challenge at a time; they’re navigating the ripple effects as each issue impacts the next.
Geopolitical developments are triggering regulatory shifts that are directly impacting supply chains, cost structures, and sourcing strategies. What starts as a supply chain issue quickly becomes a pricing challenge, then a brand trust issue. Growing pressure, shifting priorities, and a rising risk of burnout can challenge talent retention.
Issues with the power to fundamentally reshape industries are appearing and taking hold with unprecedented speed. Tariffs and supply chain volatility can destabilize sourcing strategies overnight, forcing margin resets and, in some cases, threatening entire business models.
Chris Kempczinski
Chairman & CEO, McDonalds; Board Director, Procter & Gamble
Artificial intelligence is simultaneously redefining how consumer industries operate and how customers interact with businesses. It is not just enhancing workflows — it is rewriting them. Large retailers are piloting AI agents to run category management, automate pricing, and soon AI is expected to be able to negotiate directly with suppliers. The result is an uneven playing field: data-rich retailers with higher capital investment are racing ahead, while smaller retailers and CPGs risk being left behind. But the real frontier isn’t AI alone — it’s how human judgment and AI capabilities combine.
Samir Singh
EVP APAC, Colgate-Palmolive
Stuart Aitken
CEO, Circana
And layered on top of these shifts, consumer behaviors themselves continue to evolve in ways that make it hard for leaders to keep pace. From the rise of GLP-1 drugs in the US, to TikTok Shop in Asia, to European consumers placing greater value on products being local, leaders around the globe are being forced to adapt in real time.
Russell Reynolds Associates’ Global Leadership Monitor shows that consumer behavior remains the most significant external factor shaping the health of consumer organizations — influencing what consumers value, how they shop, and the experiences they expect.
Mick Beekhuizen
President and CEO, The Campbell’s Company
Consumer leaders today are being pulled in two directions simultaneously: the urgency of short-term delivery and the pressure to build long-term resilience. While managing costs, protecting margins, and hitting quarterly targets remain essential, so too is investing in the capabilities and strategies that will secure relevance five years out.
Performance used to be about delivering results in order to earn the right to transform. Today, transformation itself is table stakes, and success is defined by the ability to adapt continuously along the way. Every short-term move carries long-term consequences, making prioritization across issues like tariffs and AI increasingly complex. At the same time, boards are pressing CEOs to move faster, be more decisive and place the right strategic bets to secure the company’s future.
Brendan Foley
President & CEO, McCormick
Today’s leaders are being held accountable to a broader and more vocal group of stakeholders than ever before — from shareholders and customers to regulators, employees, and the public. These stakeholders often have divergent, even conflicting, priorities. And in some markets, the challenge is magnified by local politics and regulations that are moving in opposite directions.
Expectations around issues like DE&I now vary not only across continents, but even from state to state within the U.S. What’s standard in one region may be politically charged in another, forcing leaders to make judgment calls that will inevitably draw criticism — no matter what side they take.
For some CEOs, this means spending more time in policy and government conversations than ever before — engaging directly with lawmakers to share their perspectives and manage emerging risks.
Carlos Abrams-Rivera
CEO, Kraft Heinz
The forces reshaping consumer businesses rarely sit neatly within one function. Retail media is a prime example: now surpassing $100 billion globally, it is reshaping how brands engage with consumers. For leaders, this means not only adapting to new business models, but also competing on new terms and with new capabilities required to succeed.
Once seen primarily as a marketing function, retail media now touches merchandising, data analytics, supply chain, finance, and customer engagement. For example, allocating in-store space for digital screens requires coordination between operations, IT, brand partnerships, and finance.
AI is another prime example – capturing its potential is not just a technical exercise, but a cultural and organizational one. Questions of ethics, safety, and new models of work demand collaboration across teams and functions, requiring leaders to work with one another in ways many top teams were never designed to do.
Sean Gamble
President & CEO, Cinemark
To address these shifts, consumer leaders have had to evolve their leadership playbooks. Interviews revealed four capabilities that help successful leaders navigate compounding uncertainty with ease:
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Act or get left behindAmid today’s volatility, waiting for certainty or trying to control all of the workstreams means missing the moment. Leadership today is less about having all the answers and more about acting with conviction, taking informed risks when visibility is limited, and making decisions with the best information available. As conditions evolve, it also requires the flexibility and adaptability to adjust course as new information emerges. That means moving directionally, if not always precisely. "We learn more from failures than from successes, yet many people leave that powerful lesson at home when they come to work. Our goal is to empower employees to take calculated risks."Tony Capuano |
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Align your organization around a North StarPressure from investors and shareholders to deliver short-term results can tempt leaders to compromise on the principles that underpin long-term success. The most effective resist that pull, using their company’s mission and values as a filter for decisions, a source of stability for their teams, and a guide through tough trade-offs. Protecting purpose now – even when it requires harder calls – positions the company to come out stronger as conditions improve. "The challenge is staying true to your company’s purpose when there’s pressure for short-term results. You have to hold the line now so you can emerge stronger when conditions improve."Scott Boatwright |
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Communicate (even if you don’t have all the answers)Since COVID, the demand for clear, consistent communication has only grown — not just with employees, but with their teams, boards and external stakeholders. This year has underscored that successful leadership through uncertainty is less about having every answer and more about reassuring, projecting calm and confidence, and providing clarity on direction, even when that is just acknowledging what is still being worked through. "In tougher and uncertain times, it’s important to show both heart and presence. I make a point of spending extra time with the team as a group, so they know where we stand together — reducing uncertainty and enabling smart and bold decisions."Stina Westerstad |
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Embrace scenario planning as a leadership “workout”In today’s environment, leaders are under pressure to make faster decisions and shift course quickly. To enable that pace, many are using scenario planning not as a theoretical tool, but as a practical way to test responses, align decision-makers, and stay ready. The goal isn’t to predict what’s next — it’s to “build a muscle” to move quickly without losing focus. "Scenario planning is like warming up in a sport. Practice enough to get your mind in shape for whatever comes your way and to build the confidence you can perform."Maria Henry "To face uncertainty, you must identify the certainties within the uncertainty."Henry Chen |
Leadership has become a team sport more than ever. No matter how experienced or visionary, no leader can navigate today’s complexity alone. The most effective leaders are building empowered and aligned teams that can move quickly and with autonomy, investing in how the team works and how decisions are made:
Many of today’s strongest leadership teams were forged in crisis. What distinguishes them isn’t just pace, but rhythm that works for them as a team: regular check-ins, clarity around priorities, and space for honest debate. That rhythm allows teams to operate with urgency, without chaos, while also building in time to recharge so they can sustain performance and avoid burnout.
Joe Preston
President & CEO, New Balance
High-performing teams also know when to pull together and when to give space. They balance deep collaboration with empowering individual leaders to stay connected to their own functions and teams. The goal isn’t constant coordination, but deliberate connection — creating the conditions for both speed and influence.
Shane Grant
COO Americas, Colgate-Palmolive
The most effective leaders see their executive team—not their functions—as their true first team. Rather than defending silos, they lean into horizontal collaboration, recognizing that the company succeeds only when the leadership body operates as one. Enterprise-minded leaders bring their expertise to enrich collective judgment, not to accumulate personal power.
Carl Su
Managing Director China, General Mills
Increased uncertainty has drawn boards closer to the business. The days of quarterly updates are over; boards are now actively engaged in decision-making cycles. That means executive teams need to align not just internally, but across governance lines, bringing boards in early as decisions are being made and preparing them to respond quickly when needed. Keeping the board connected to important decisions helps build directors’ confidence in how events are unfolding.
Jeff Harmening
Chairman & CEO, General Mills
The market environment is not only a test of resilience, but also a catalyst for performance. Success comes not from resisting uncertainty, but from embracing it. Leaders who treat disruption as fuel can ignite their organizations — sharpening focus, fueling a competitive edge, and turning pressure into momentum. This mindset transforms volatility from a risk to be managed into an arena for growth, where organizations strengthen operational discipline, accelerate innovation, and build cultures energized by challenge.
The strategies and instincts that once defined success can quickly become liabilities if left unquestioned. In today’s environment, established patterns are not always reliable.
Organizations that master compounding uncertainty move beyond simply adapting to change – they begin creating it. They don't wait for market shifts to force adaptation, they stay intentional about challenging long-held assumptions and creating new, evolved playbooks.
To close each conversation, we asked our interviewees: What’s the best advice you’ve ever received, that feels especially relevant right now? Here’s what they shared:
The authors wish to thank the 65 leaders from RRA’s global network who participated in this year’s RRA Leadership Labs interviews!
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